{
  "entry": "0125",
  "window": "voted events with last detection in the 14 days to 2026-11-02T00:37Z, not retracted",
  "outcome_check": "NASA FIRMS VIIRS/MODIS pixel within 5 km and 12 h of the event",
  "firms_pixels_in_window": 468,
  "voted_events": 370,
  "kept_under_instrument_rule": {"n": 6, "with_firms_pixel": 0},
  "dropped_under_instrument_rule": {"n": 364, "with_firms_pixel": 20, "share": 0.055},
  "combinations": [
    {"families": "subpixel_v1_firms_anchored + wind_diff", "n": 216, "verdict": "dropped", "instruments": "geo_ir"},
    {"families": "fci_subpixel + wind_diff", "n": 73, "verdict": "dropped", "instruments": "geo_ir"},
    {"families": "fci_subpixel + subpixel_v1_firms_anchored", "n": 55, "verdict": "dropped", "instruments": "geo_ir"},
    {"families": "phoenix_sat_validator + subpixel_v1_firms_anchored + wind_diff", "n": 7, "verdict": "dropped", "instruments": "geo_ir"},
    {"families": "fci_subpixel + subpixel_v1_firms_anchored + wind_diff", "n": 3, "verdict": "dropped", "instruments": "geo_ir"},
    {"families": "mtg_af_l2 + wind_diff", "n": 2, "verdict": "dropped", "instruments": "geo_ir"},
    {"families": "gds_news + qds", "n": 2, "verdict": "dropped", "instruments": "news"},
    {"families": "fci_subpixel + phoenix_sat_validator + wind_diff", "n": 2, "verdict": "dropped", "instruments": "geo_ir"},
    {"families": "seviri_subpixel + subpixel_v1_firms_anchored + wind_diff", "n": 1, "verdict": "dropped", "instruments": "geo_ir"},
    {"families": "mtg_af_l2 + subpixel_v1_firms_anchored", "n": 1, "verdict": "dropped", "instruments": "geo_ir"},
    {"families": "blogsicilia + livesicilia", "n": 1, "verdict": "dropped", "instruments": "news"},
    {"families": "ansa_rss + qds", "n": 1, "verdict": "dropped", "instruments": "news"},
    {"families": "mtg_af_l2 + qds", "n": 1, "verdict": "kept", "instruments": "geo_ir + news"},
    {"families": "itacanotizie + wind_diff", "n": 1, "verdict": "kept", "instruments": "geo_ir + news"},
    {"families": "blogsicilia + phoenix_sat_validator + wind_diff", "n": 1, "verdict": "kept", "instruments": "geo_ir + news"},
    {"families": "blogsicilia + fci_subpixel", "n": 1, "verdict": "kept", "instruments": "geo_ir + news"},
    {"families": "phoenix_sat_validator + qds + wind_diff", "n": 1, "verdict": "kept", "instruments": "geo_ir + news"},
    {"families": "itacanotizie + subpixel_v1_firms_anchored", "n": 1, "verdict": "kept", "instruments": "geo_ir + news"}
  ],
  "fire_weather_gate": {
    "defect": "MAX over all six FWI-system codes (fwi, ffmc, dmc, dc, isi, bui); the Drought Code (~1000 in autumn) held the fast cadence open all year",
    "observed_2026-11-01": {"old_value_read": 997.7, "code": "dc", "fwi_actual": 19.17, "threshold": 30},
    "fwi_days_at_or_above_30_by_month": {"2026-05": "9/9", "2026-06": "30/30", "2026-07": "20/20", "2026-08": "24/24", "2026-09": "23/27", "2026-10": "14/27", "2026-11": "0/1"}
  }
}